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  1. Abstract

    Soils have been heralded as a hidden resource that can be leveraged to mitigate and address some of the major global environmental challenges. Specifically, the organic carbon stored in soils, called soil organic carbon (SOC), can, through proper soil management, help offset fuel emissions, increase food productivity, and improve water quality. As collecting data on SOC are costly and time‐consuming, not much data on SOC are available, although understanding the spatial variability in SOC is of fundamental importance for effective soil management. In this manuscript, we propose a modeling framework that can be used to gain a better understanding of the dependence structure of a spatial process by identifying regions within a spatial domain where the process displays the same spatial correlation range. To achieve this goal, we propose a generalization of the multiresolution approximation (M‐RA) modeling framework of Katzfuss originally introduced as a strategy to reduce the computational burden encountered when analyzing massive spatial datasets. To allow for the possibility that the correlation of a spatial process might be characterized by a different range in different subregions of a spatial domain, we provide the M‐RA basis functions weights with a two‐component mixture prior with one of the mixture components a shrinking prior. We call our approach themixture M‐RA. Application of the mixture M‐RA model to both stationary and nonstationary data show that the mixture M‐RA model can handle both types of data, can correctly establish the type of spatial dependence structure in the data (e.g., stationary versus not), and can identify regions of local stationarity.

     
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  2. Summary

    Distributed lag models (DLMs) have been widely used in environmental epidemiology to quantify the lagged effects of air pollution on a health outcome of interest such as mortality and morbidity. Most previous DLM approaches consider only one pollutant at a time. We propose a distributed lag interaction model to characterize the joint lagged effect of two pollutants. One natural way to model the interaction surface is by assuming that the underlying basis functions are tensor products of the basis functions that generate the main effect distributed lag functions. We extend Tukey's 1 degree-of-freedom interaction structure to the two-dimensional DLM context. We also consider shrinkage versions of the two to allow departure from the specified Tukey interaction structure and achieve bias—variance trade-off. We derive the marginal lag effects of one pollutant when the other pollutant is fixed at certain quantiles. In a simulation study, we show that the shrinkage methods have better average performance in terms of mean-squared error across various scenarios. We illustrate the methods proposed by using the ‘National morbidity, mortality, and air pollution study’ data to model the joint effects of particulate matter and ozone on mortality count in Chicago, Illinois, from 1987 to 2000.

     
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